Teams on the Bubble: Three Bold Predictions for Saturday in College Basketball......36+ Hours in Advance!!!!

1. Purdue+5.5/+13.5 over Michigan - Purdue is clearly a "bubble team", and Michigan is undefeated at Home! So, why do I think Purdue will win.....Pay & Win - and I'll tell you "Why"!

2. LSU+3.5/+11.5 over Ole' Miss - Yet another "bubble team" with LSU. I'll even take it a few steps further: I believe that LSU needs to "win-out" (3-games). And, they need to win their SEC Tournament opening game, in order to get an at-large bid into the field of 68!

3. Rutgers+7.5/+15.5 over Seton Hall -  Rutgers is looking at a probable NIT bid, if, they can win two of their final three games. They're currently on a 6-game skid and they are on the road versus Seton Hall, on Saturday. So why in the world would I like these kids, especially since "The Hall" is definitely on the bubble? Pay and find-out what I know!

***Spend a mere $29.99 and you'll receive my full PSM Analysis of the above-mentioned games & two other "Special Games". To buy, just click on the 3-Days of Service PayPal button!***

p.s. Remember, Today thru Sunday is your last chance to buy either the NBA or College PSM for the incredibly low price of $99.00!!!

Signed,

JJT

The Thursday Blog, Early: Sorry Folks, I Zigged when I should of Zagged......Just be happy you weren't on my (7) golfers!

Re-Updated @ 8:19EST:  Well, myself & ALL of my 25%ers had the Knicks+5.5 & "Under-102", so we're already (2-0); with the Knicks+18 & "Under-210.5" (as our "Key" plays) in multiple 3-team/8pt teaser wagers! In the 2nd half, we'll be hedging on the Heat-5 and ensure that we either go (3-1) or (4-0)!!!

Yes peeps, I screwed the pooch last night - in not using a projected 18-point winner down to (-7)! That, was the smarter play; with regard to the play I did reco, the "Over"! Again, so sorry. But, I had a much more nightmarish day than that! You see, I wagered on (7) golfers to win the Match Play, and ALL SEVEN lost their opening match - or, $390.00 down the proverbial tube!!!

As many of you already know by now, I "BOUNCE BACK" WELL! Especially, after such a nasty loser like the one I posted in the blog below!

Well, here's my "DOUBLE-UP"/"Make-Up Play",  for Thursday in the NBA.....NYK @ MIA

NYK:  121, 70, 126................bi = 98...............Final = 94

MIA:   134, 107, 115..............bi = 99...............Final = 98

Analysis: The Heat are (6-5) when they score (98) or less, this season. But, when they score (99) or more, they have a gaudy (20-2) record! Fortunately for the Knicks, the Miami Heat are on a 7-game winning streak (equates to a "natural state of regression" - for they WILL lose again), and they should regress miserably from their 120-point performance versus Sacramento. Furthermore, the Miami bench contributed 32-points in their most recent win - and I seriously doubt that will happen versus the Knicks.

RECO ON: KNICKS!!!! This is the type of PSM situation/projection that could come-in reverse!!!

Signed,

JJT

Blog #2 for Wednesday: Always Teaching: Because, I Want EVERYBODY to WIN!!!

Memphis (82-64) over ECU is the projected PSM final, for tonight. Below, is a Kepom COS (Chronological Order of Scoring) from their 1st meeting (Feb. 8th).

CLICK TO VIEW!

In properly utilizing my PSM, one still needs to do a little "due-diligence". In the screen shot above, the circles account for some nasty lapses in scoring. I count 8pts over 16-minutes of real-time play! The closing total in this 1st meeting was (139), and tonight's total is (140).

Needless to say, that information alone would/should be enough to sway a person towards the "Over-140". But, I'll take it one step further: below is the official box score from www.covers.com - TRY TO NOTE THE TOTAL NUMBER OF FOUL SHOTS TAKEN/MADE?! A typical college game in the 135 -140 total range, has about 25 to 30% more foul shots taken!

http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncb/results/2011-2012/boxscore830057.html

RECO ON: "Over-133", in as many 2-team/7pt teaser bets as you want to make - using this part as your "Key" Game/Play!!! 

To make the above-mentioned wager now, I'd strongly recommend that you read the blog 2-down!

Signed,

JJT

The Power of My PSM: And Another Happy Purchaser!!!!

My $99.00 Per PSM Sale ends Sunday! What, I'm not allowed to change my mind?!

Wager details for ticket number 42440677-9:

Wager Type:  Parlay (5 team)
Wager Status:Win
Risk / To Win Amount:: 160.00 / 1170.00 (USD )
Accepted 2/21/2012 4:42:57 PM - PST
Amount Paid:    1330.00

Item #1 Basketball NCAA

2/21/2012
8:00:01 PM

Creighton

Win - Money Line -600 for Game

Item #2 Basketball NCAA

2/21/2012
8:00:01 PM

Maryland

Win - Money Line +135 for Game

Item #3 Basketball NCAA

2/21/2012
8:00:01 PM

North Carolina

Win - Money Line -300 for Game

Item #4 Basketball NCAA

2/21/2012
9:00:01 PM

Kentucky

Win - Money Line -525 for Game

Item #5 Basketball NCAA

2/21/2012
10:00:01 PM

New Mexico/Colorado State

Win - Total Under 135½  -110 for Game 

Come Back @ 5:00EST to See a Full PSM Analysis of the 76ers @ Grizzlies

****POSTED @ 2:54pm EST****




My official PSM Analysis of: 76ers @ Grizzlies......Game Starts @ 8:00EST


PHI:       66, 89, 89...............bi = 93....................Final = 92
MEM:   104, 100, 96............bi = 92...................Final = 91


As of 2:30EST, the current line/total on this contest is at: Philly-1.5/181

Analysis: Prior to last night's loss at Houston, the Grizzlies had won 4-straight. During those 4-games, they were averaging approximately 101.25. If we include their loss from last night, that number drops down to 99.6 - and for the month, they're at exactly 94.4......99.6(L-5) + 94.4(L-12/Month) = 194/2 = 97.

So now the question becomes.....Will the Grizzlies actually regress by (6) points? I believe that answer is a resounding "Yes"! Why? Because, 94.4 * 12 = 1132.80.......1132.80 - 498(L-5 in total) = 634.80/7 = 90.68, or an estimated (91)! Guess what? The PSM deciphered that final of (91) in a lot less "math" & time!!!

Ever since the first month that I started using my NBA PSM (4-Years Ago), I've abided by a "2pt rule". Whenever a PSM projected final is within 2pts of the actual posted total, I typically side with the "Under". 

RECO ON:  "Under-188", as a "Key" in individual 2-team/7pt teaser bets @ -150. Said wager can be made by clicking on the Justbet banner above, or through starting an account with the following link: http://justbet.cx/tuttlemath/

p.s. Remember to read the blog directly below this one! The offer is good for another 19-Days!

Signed,

JJT

Just Note the Original Time Stamp! Allow Me to Help Subsidize Your Life, with Sports Betting!

CLICK TO VIEW!

In the print screen above, me & my PSM were "off" (from perfection) by a mere three-point shot in the Syracuse @ Rutgers game. And (1) three-pointer "off" of the actual final point tally for Wisconsin; although a slightly disappointing (11) points off on PSU. But in 8pt teaser formatting, the value lied with both of the projected winners (neither of which covered ATS), and those two teams were our "Key Teams" in all of the 3-team/8pt teaser bets that we made, for Sunday. For the record, we only went a paltry (9-5).

People, teasers work and teaser win! Just look at the two above-mentioned examples? Neither SYR-11 or Wisc-14 covered in traditional ATS betting. Meanwhile, SYR-3 & Wisc-6 (as the two key teams) in multiple 3-team/8pt teaser bets, were Winnas!!! Of the 7-game we tried to "middle", yes, we only wound-up at (9-5) for the day/night. Or, exactly (+3.0) net wins, on a c-note scale, or +$300.00!

In closing, I'm going to allow all of you that aren't already PSM owners a never before seen option. 


From Monday the 20th of February until March 11th (Selection Sunday), You'll now have the ability to buy either the College PSM and/or the NBA PSM at the incredibly generous price of $99.00. If interested in buying either one (or both), feel free to contact me via email @ jjtuttle131@yahoo.com, before sending any funds - for I will give you PayPal sending info soon thereafter. And remember, I typically don't wake-up before 1:00pm EST.

Signed,

JJT

The PSM was Designed for Teaser Betting, People! The Saturday Blog went 6 for 6!!!!

Folks, I hate to sound so damn redundant, but I designed ALL of my PSM's to be utilized in either totals and/or teasers type betting. As I'm sure many of you know, I don't really ever give anything away for free. On a day like yesterday (when I posted six games), I honestly thought that all six could "middle" in 8pt teaser formatting. As it turned-out, those six games/twelve teams went (10-2) in 8pt formatting.

Another aspect to the PSM that I've made mention of on numerous other occasions is: "I LOVE when the PSM isn't even close, yet it still lands us on the proverbial 'right side'." If you know anything about "projected values", then, the six teams that one should have used (from the blog below this one), went 6 for 6!

Example: UConn was a (-3) favorite over Marquette, SU ATS. So, in 8pt formatting, the value lied with Marq+11, instead of UConn+5.  Why?  Simple Answer: The PSM had UConn winning by 1-point, (69-68). 

Marq+11 was where the value lied, because they were at (+10) in relation to the PSM projected final score, and UConn was only a +4. Any team projected to win by a mere point (as this was the case w/Uconn), and the spread is at (-2) or more, the value will ALWAYS be on the side of the Dog!

Let's dissect the other 5-games, shall we....

Baylor was projected to win by 9, on a -7.5 closing line. K. St+15.5 or Bay+1.5?  Answer: K. State

Iowa St was also a (-7.5) favorite, and a 9pt projected winner. Again, the "value" was with the "Dog" in 8pt teaser formatting = Winner with Okla +15.5!

Temple was projected to win by (12) on an 11.5 closing line. Temp-3.5 or Duq+19.5? Answer: Duq+19.5 = Another Winner!

SDST-4 SU ATS, so, that's either +4 in taking them, or +12 with Air Force. Value was: AF+12 = (W)!

Finally, we come to the only one of the six games where the PSM was remotely 'close": FAU @ Mid Tenn St. In said game, the PSM had MTSU winning by a final score of (70-57). The actual final score was (72-59). The value was clearly with MTSU-1.5 in 8pt formatting.

They (MTSU), were a 13-point projected winning side, and the actual closing line was (-9.5). With being projected to win by (13) and we were able to get them at (-1.5), that equates to a (+11.5) worth of "value". Whereas in taking FAU, one's value index says they were only at (+4.5).....+17.5 - 13(their projected margin of defeat) = (+4.5)

In closing, I'm taking a pass on Sunday. Because, I stand to make 5k if either Dustin Johnson or Keegan Bradley can find a way to beat the red hot Phil Mickelson. 

Signed,

JJT